cover image: MOST PROTECTED AREAS OF - THE KAVANGO-ZAMBEZI (KAZA) LANDSCAPE - ARE VULNERABLE TO CLIMATE CHANGE

MOST PROTECTED AREAS OF - THE KAVANGO-ZAMBEZI (KAZA) LANDSCAPE - ARE VULNERABLE TO CLIMATE CHANGE

20 Dec 2023

Global climate change impacts are among the most significant drivers threatening the sustainability of the food system and the conservation of natural capital in the landscape. [...] © Gareth Bentley / WWF-US EXPECTED CHANGES IN CLIMATE POTENTIAL CLIMATE IMPACTS In this study, future climate conditions were estimated for Impacts were assessed in terms of habitat change (how 2050 using the IPCC’s representative concentration pathway different is the future biome representation of each protected (RCP) 8.5 scenario, which is the one that corresponds best to area compared to curre. [...] The hot dry season (August to October) is expected to get drier by 33%, the hot wet Habitat change: For ten of the protected season (November to April) is expected to areas, predictions were for no habitat get drier by 3.3%, and the cool dry season change, while only Chizarira National Park (May to July) is expected to get drier by 22%. [...] in Zimbabwe is predicted to have a change in habitat of more than 30% Mean annual temperature averaged over the Species loss: The species impact scores whole of KAZA is expected to increase by ranged from 19.8% for Kariba Recreation 3°C (14%), with mean monthly temperatures Park in Zimbabwe to 44.7% for Makgadikgadi reaching dangerously high levels (close to Pans National Park in Botswana. [...] 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 (Note that a score of 0% corresponds to zero impact and a score of 100% corres ponds to the highest level of impact.) (Source: WWF, Coldrey et al) ADAPTIVE CAPACITY The adaptive capacity of parks is strongly affected by their level of financing in relation to management requirements.
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4
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Kenya