CLIMBING THE MOUNTAIN - LABOURʼS KEY BATTLEGROUNDS AT THE NEXT ELECTION

Like all publications of the Fabian Society, this report represents not the collective views of the society, but only the views of the individual writer. [...] 1 CLIMBING THE MOUNTAIN About the briefing This report identifies 150 non-Labour seats on the new boundaries which will likely make up a very high proportion of the constituencies that Labour will target at the next election. [...] Even more concerning for the Conservatives, 43 per cent of adults in Great Britain say they would never consider voting Conservative (ie stating their likelihood of doing so is 0 out of 10), compared to just 25 per cent saying the same for Labour Looking specifically at respondents in the 150 key marginals, 21 per cent would be likely to vote Conservative – compared to 48 per cent likely to vote L. [...] Only 56 per cent of those who voted Conservative in 2019 in the marginal constituencies would be likely to vote for the Conservatives at the next election (ie a likelihood between 6 and 10 out of 10). [...] Just 39 per cent of those who voted Conservative in 2019 in the marginal seats said they would prefer a Conservative government led by Rishi Sunak as the outcome of the next election – compared to 13 per cent saying a Labour government led by Keir Starmer, 39 per cent saying ‘neither’ and 17 per cent said ‘not sure’.