cover image: On the Horizon - MARCH – AUGUST 2024 - WESTERN SAHARA SOUTH SUDAN

On the Horizon - MARCH – AUGUST 2024 - WESTERN SAHARA SOUTH SUDAN

20 Mar 2024

Bossangoa The military deal between separatists could Enugu NORTHWEST Bozoum REGION Bouar Armed forces, currently fighting separatist lead to increased insecurity in the Gulf of Sibut WHAT TO WATCH IN THE 2Calabar SOUTHWEST militias in the Anglophone regions, battling Boko REGION COMING WEEKS AND MONTHS Guinea, an area notorious for piracy, as Bakassi Haram insurgents in the Far North and policing. [...] Any protests over the high cost of living, Cameroon’s Anglophone communities and emergent conflicts and crises in the next three following the removal of fuel subsidies in Biafra separatists in neighbouring Nigeria places an additional care burden on women. [...] emergent conflicts and crises in the next three for a new constitution and the unification of to six months in a clear, accessible format, TO WATCH Climate disasters set to worsen previously warring armed forces, or else Sudan 2 Sudan’s civil war could spill identifying triggers, key dates to watch and situation; Jonglei State and Abyei area. [...] It will also heighten the risk of Kiir being of political constituencies; possible extension Buay and Nuer fighters will likely continue ousted, and further weaken the state appara- of political transition; and ways SPLM-IO- fighting alongside the RSF, raising the possibility tus. [...] hand and the Polisario and its main ally, Potential Consequences berm Algeria, on the other, may increase the risk of A direct confrontation between Morocco M A U R I T A N I A a regional escalation, though major conflict and Algeria could take place in Western is unlikely.
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