Transnistria, in the shadow of the war in Ukraine

Over the last two years, Moldova Institute (Centre and, within it, Transnistria have witnessed Grande Europe), On 28 February 2024, just a few days after significant transformations that have shaped General Secretary the second anniversary of the start of the its political, economic and social dynamics, of the Centre for war in Ukraine, the President of Trans- no doubt explaining the gap in percep. [...] In February 2022, it explores the shift in the security status of no Transnistrian soldiers had crossed into the separatist region from military risk to Ukrainian territory, likely due to a lack of socio-economic vulnerability, analyzing how capacity to lead an offensive and defend the the war has threatened the stability of this region. [...] Despite shifts in the regional landscape, reintegration From the Moldovan government’s pers- remains a peripheral concern for Moldovan pective, the process of reincorporating public opinion, greeted with caution and, Transnistria into the Moldovan framework even, relative indifference.16 Moreover, the cannot come at the expense of the nation’s prospect of reintegration risks bolstering territorial. [...] To spearhead intertwined with the status of the Gagauz reintegration efforts, the government has minority in southern Moldova, whose autono- appointed a deputy prime minister, Oleg 14 15 Since the election in May 2023 of Governor Evghenia Gutul, a member of the party of the pro-Russian oligarch Ilan Shor, relations between the central authorities and th. [...] Under these conditions, in conflict, the increasing influence of the Euro- successive stages, the idea of reunification pean Union in the region, and the diminishing becomes more attractive to the inhabitants leverage of Transnistria.