cover image: Projected Impact of Population Aging on Non-communicable Disease Burden and Costs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, 2020-2030 (English)

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Projected Impact of Population Aging on Non-communicable Disease Burden and Costs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, 2020-2030 (English)

26 Jun 2024

The number of people aged greater than 65 years per 100 people aged 20-64 years is expected to almost double in The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) between 2020 and 2030. We therefore aimed to quantify the growing non-communicable disease (NCD) burden in KSA between 2020 and 2030, and the impact this will have on the national health budget. Ten priority NCDs were selected: ischemic heart disease, stroke, type 2 diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, chronic kidney disease, dementia, depression, osteoarthritis, colorectal cancer, and breast cancer. Age- and sex-specific prevalence was projected for each priority NCD between 2020 and 2030. Treatment coverage rates were applied to the projected prevalence estimates to calculate the number of patients incurring treatment costs for each condition. For each priority NCD, the average cost-of-illness was estimated based on published literature. The impact of changes to our base-case model in terms of assumed disease prevalence, treatment coverage, and costs of care, coming into effect from 2023 onwards, were explored. Managing the growing NCD burden in KSA's aging population will require substantial healthcare spending increases over the coming years.
middle east and north africa gulf cooperation council aging population aging and health non-communicable disease and injury other public administration

Authors

Boettige, David C., Lin,Tracy Kuo, Almansour, Maram, Hamza,Mariam Mohamed Samir Amin, Alsukait,Reem Fahad M, Herbst,Christopher H., Altheyab, Nada, Afghan, Ayman, Kattan, Faisal

DOI
https://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12913-023-10309-w
Disclosure Date
2024/06/26
Disclosure Status
Disclosed
Doc Name
Projected Impact of Population Aging on Non-communicable Disease Burden and Costs in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, 2020-2030
Product Line
Advisory Services & Analytics
Published in
United States of America
Rel Proj ID
5C-Economic Impact Of Aging In The Gulf Countries -- P180013
Sector
Other Public Administration
Theme
Human Development and Gender,Demographics and Aging
Unit Owning
HD - MNA Director (HMNDR)
Version Type
Final
Volume No
1

Table of Contents