The bigger the pool, the better for the party in question. [...] The national trends have been replicated in the province, with the ANC improving its vote share and both the DA and the EFF declining. [...] Key Finding: Support for De Lille’s new party seems primarily to lower the ANC’s percentage of the vote, which drops from the mid-fifties in the voting intention question to the mid-forties, when respondents are forced to choose. [...] The number of respondents somewhat or very favourable to the ANC increased fractionally (up to 54%), while the number of respondents somewhat or very favourable towards the DA declined (from 34% to 28%), as was the case for the EFF (down from 28% to 21%). [...] The most likely explanation for these trends is not current affairs but a general move back towards the ANC by those voters previously alienated from the party, although issues like the advent of Patricia de Lille’s new party and the VBS Mutual Bank scandal would have acted to retard the ability of both the DA and EFF to counter this.
- Pages
- 10
- Published in
- Johannesburg, South Africa
