cover image: Tajikistan Economic Update : Focusing on the Footprint of State-Owned Enterprises and Competitive Neutrality (English)

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Tajikistan Economic Update : Focusing on the Footprint of State-Owned Enterprises and Competitive Neutrality (English)

25 Jul 2024

Following some strengthening of growth in Europe and Central Asia, Tajikistan has benefitted from it and demonstrated good economic performance last year and in early 2024. As external demand has improved, the economy of Tajikistan grew by 8.3 percent in 2023 and 8.2 percent during the first quarter of 2024. This was driven mainly by higher gold export revenue, private consumption and increased public infrastructure spending. Domestic demand has been supported by an increase in the inflow of workers' remittances and a higher public wage bill in 2023, contributing to further poverty reduction. Domestic consumer-price inflation has benefited from subsiding global food and fuel prices and some tightening of monetary policy. Increased external grant support from development partners has helped to maintain fiscal discipline, leading to a further decline in public debt. Risks to the economic outlook include a potential escalation of global and regional tensions and the Russian Federation's tighter migration policies, both of which could affect labor migration and give rise to energy price increases and higher logistics costs. Outdated price regulation methodologies in natural monopoly sectors dominated by SOEs undermine efficiency and hinder market competition. It is important for Tajikistan to align regulations with pro-competition principles and update tariff-setting methods to incentivize efficiency and operational performance improvements. Addressing these challenges requires clear policies to ensure competitive neutrality, transparency in state aid distribution, and reforms to promote fair competition and market efficiency. Tajikistan can unlock its economic potential and foster sustainable growth by fostering a level playing field for all businesses.
poverty tajikistan europe and central asia fuel subsidies sustainable economic growth poverty measurement and analysis debt and macroeconomic stability

Authors

Ziyaev,Bakhrom, Sarsenov,Ilyas, Emelyanova,Olga, Wheeler,Collette Mari, Papagianni,Vasiliki, Calice,Pietro, Rajabov,Alisher, Sukhova,Anna, Qurbonova,Zuhro, Hasanov,Rashad, Iootty De Paiva Dias,Mariana, Apfalter,Stefan, Kabilov,Firdavs

Disclosure Date
2024/07/25
Disclosure Status
Disclosed
Doc Name
Tajikistan Economic Update : Focusing on the Footprint of State-Owned Enterprises and Competitive Neutrality
Pages
56
Product Line
Advisory Services & Analytics
Published in
United States of America
Rel Proj ID
TJ-Tajikistan Economic Update 2024 -- P501023
TF No/Name
TF0C4229-Tajikistan Trade Diagnostics
Unit Owning
EFI-ECA-MTI-MacroFiscal-1 (EECM1)
Version Type
Final
Volume No
1

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