In this report, we analyze the economic, human health,
environmental, and electric grid impacts of a future in which
ground transportation is all-electric. Our main scenario, the Drive
Rapid Innovation in Vehicle Electrification (DRIVE Clean) scenario,
represents a future in which EVs constitute 100% of new U.S. lightduty vehicle (LDV) sales by 2030 as well as 100% of medium-duty
vehicle (MDV) and heavy-duty truck (HDT) sales by 2035. The grid
reaches 90% clean electricity by 2035, and substantial EV charging
infrastructure is deployed. We compare this scenario to a No New
Policy scenario, in which EVs constitute 45% of new LDV sales,
38% of MDV sales, and 12% of HDT sales in 2035, and the clean
electricity share reaches only 47% by 2035. By demonstrating
that the ambitious DRIVE Clean goals are technically feasible and
economically beneficial, we aim to inform broader discussions of
the U.S. transportation transition.
- Published in
- United States of America