cover image: After Xi: Future Scenarios for Leadership Succession in Post-Xi Jinping Era

20.500.12592/b0cngh

After Xi: Future Scenarios for Leadership Succession in Post-Xi Jinping Era

22 Apr 2021

Key Findings
  • After more than eight years in office, Xi Jinping has made himself into China’s most powerful leader since Deng Xiaoping, but in doing so, Xi has destabilised elite politics and demolished the power sharing norms that evolved since the 1980s.
  • By removing de jure and de facto term limits on the most senior position of power, and thus far refusing to nominate his successor, Xi has solidified his own leadership position but potentially pushed the country towards a destabilising succession crisis.
  • There are various scenarios for what happens after Xi, ranging from a peaceful transfer of power to a split at the top if he is forced out of office in a coup or by illness or death.

Authors

Richard McGregor, Jude Blanchette

Published in
Australia