Modeling low carbon transitions: industry and transport - Igor Bashmakov Center for Energy Efficiency -

Slide 1 Modeling low carbon transitions: industry and transport Igor Bashmakov Center for Energy Efficiency - XXI www.cenef.ru 8 (499) 120-9209 We spend our energy to save yours! 1 Cloud (set) of 10 models used for Russia’s long-term LCDS INDEEMOD The model set is built around the core Моденль TRANS- ИГКЭ GHG multisectorial model – ENERGYBAL-GEM-2050 The ‘cloud’ of models incl. [...] SEC and EEI in ferrous metallurgy Parameters are calibrated based on data for 2000- 2019 Estimates production of energy intense industrial products and related specific energy use, as well as cross-cutting technologies depending on: Interconnected evolution of technological structure for individual products SECs in cement industry Selection of capacity modernization rate Selection of BATs EE param. [...] Есть возможность выбора ВАТ или ВРТ Значение энергоемкости в целом по продукту получается как средневзвешенное от энергоемкостей на оставшихся немодернизированных, модернизированных и новых мощностях В модель ENERGYBAL-GEM-2050 передаются: Годовые темпы снижения показателя энергоемкости продукта и взаимосвязанные объемы производства продуктов, которые используются в функциях спроса на энергию 8 Ди. [...] Parameters are calibrated based on data for 2000-2019 Freight transport: 8 modes, including rail, oil and gas pipelines, water, trucks, air Passenger transport - 13 modes, including cars, buses, rail, light rail, water, air, bicycles Parameters modeled – freight and passenger turnover and structure, transportation infrastructure evolution, vehicle park dynamics and composition, fuel use, GHG emiss. [...] Спасибо! Igor Bashmakov Center for energy efficiency -XXI www.cenef.ru 8 (499) 120-9209 We spend our energy to save your’s! .