Socio-Economic and Demographic Analysis of the September 2019

Following the political developments that resulted in the need for a second election, the abovementioned classification became even more contentious due to the fraction between the IB party and the rest of the RW block. [...] In other words, we would expect that the higher the support in for the RW block in a specific SA, the steeper the decrease in that SA's voter turnout during September. [...] Out of the 4 areas shifting to the RW block, two are in mixed cities, Acre and Haifa, and thus the shift is mostly due to the increase in voting for the Arab block at the expense of the CLZ parties and not from an increase in support for the RW block. [...] Rishon Lezyion was the city with most SAs shifts (21), and in Netanya, the shift from RW to CLZ in the 2 relevant SAs was the largest, from a 16.91% lead for the RW block to a 1.56% for the CLZ block in September. [...] The cause for this is that the CLZ camp lost support among Arabs due to the re-establishment of the Joint Arab List, yet the decline in support was not as prominent as in the 2015 elections.