cover image: NatSec Brief - June 2021 - JINSA’s Gemunder Center for Defense and Strategy - Evaluating the Danger from Gaza’s

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NatSec Brief - June 2021 - JINSA’s Gemunder Center for Defense and Strategy - Evaluating the Danger from Gaza’s

22 Jun 2021

º The estimated 4,428 rockets fired during the 11 days of fighting in 2021 is roughly the same as the total number of rockets launched from Gaza during the entirety of the 51-day long conflict in 2014, and comparable to the number of rockets fired at Israel by Hezbollah in the entire 34-day Second Lebanon War in 2006. [...] • Yet, despite the high rate of rocket fire from Gaza and the accurate targeting of OGW, Hamas and PIJ appear to retain significant rocket arsenals and capabilities. [...] Threat Assessment of Projectiles in Gaza • JINSA’s assessment based on available sources is that Hamas and PIJ retain roughly 40 percent of the rocket capabilities they had prior to OGW: º Roughly 11,750 missiles after the conflict compared to 23,000 prior; º Some 340 launchers in Gaza now compared to 850 prior to the conflict; º An estimated 60-70 percent of projectiles in Gaza are produced indig. [...] This shows the capabilities of the IDF that we will continue to develop.” 6 Evaluating the Danger from Gaza’s Weapons Stockpile º Compared to the 2014 conflict, IDF operations in OGW were much more intense from the outset, striking an estimated 1,428 military targets overall, t. [...] In OGW, the IDF had to redeploy batteries from the north and move them to central and southern Israel.
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