Risk level – medium • Russia continued its advance toward the town of Pokrovsk in the 35% eastern Ukrainian region of Donetsk. [...] 25% Risk level – medium • Ukraine carried out one of its largest drone attacks in Russian territory since the start of the war, with Russia shooting down 45 drones, including in the Moscow region. [...] Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said the military 25% would shift its focus to the fight with Hezbollah after the Rafah Division of Hamas had been “defeated.” Risk level – medium • An Israeli airstrike in the southern Lebanese city of Sidon killed a member of Fatah, the first such time that the party of Palestinian 15% President Mahmud Abbas had been targeted in Lebanon. [...] Military escalation The Israeli military said the bodies of six hostages were recovered (up 20 pts from start of 2024) in the city of Khan Younis. [...] United States: Wind/Coal What happened: Wind power in the United States surpassed the production of coal-fired generation in both March and April of this year, a milestone for the expansion of renewable power in the U.
Authors
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- United States of America
Table of Contents
- RussiaUkraine Conflict 1
- Summary 1
- FORECAST INDICATORS 1
- Military escalation scenario 1
- Risk level medium 1
- Risk level medium 1
- Risk level lowmedium 1
- Hybrid escalation scenario 1
- Risk level medium 1
- Diplomatic de-escalation scenario 1
- Risk level low 1
- Opportunity level lowmedium 1
- Middle East 2
- Summary 2
- FORECAST INDICATORS 2
- Military escalation scenario 2
- Risk level medium 2
- Risk level medium 2
- Risk level medium 2
- Risk level lowmedium 2
- Risk level lowmedium 2
- Hybrid escalation scenario 2
- Risk level lowmedium 2
- Risk level low 2
- Diplomatic de-escalation scenario 2
- Opportunity level low 2
- Opportunity level low 2
- U.S.ChinaIndo-Pacific 3
- Summary 3
- FORECAST INDICATORS 3
- Military escalation scenario 3
- Risk level medium 3
- Risk level medium 3
- Risk level medium 3
- Hybrid escalation scenario 3
- Risk level - medium 3
- Risk level lowmedium 3
- Risk level medium 3
- Diplomatic de-escalation scenario 3
- Opportunity level lowmedium 3
- Opportunity level low 3
- Opportunity level low 3
- 1. United States WindCoal 4
- What happened 4
- SignificanceOutlook Opportunity level medium 4
- 2. Brazil Hydroelectric 4
- What happened 4
- SignificanceOutlook Opportunity level low 4
- 3. Germany Climate 5
- What happened 5
- SignificanceOutlook Opportunity level lowmedium 5
- 4. AlgeriaLebanon Energy 5
- What happened 5
- SignificanceOutlook Risk level medium 5
- 5. China Critical Minerals 5
- What happened 5
- SignificanceOutlook Risk level medium 5
- Key Stats of the Week 5