cover image: Munich Security Index 2024

20.500.12592/63gzgij

Munich Security Index 2024

7 May 2024

Among the G7 countries, the threat of Russia, for instance, rose from being the 15th greatest concern in 2021, to the top concern in 2022, and dropped to fourth in 2023. [...] • Answer scale 0 – 10 [with 0 the lowest and 10 the greatest risk] Question 2 – Will the risk increase or decrease over the next twelve months? Please say for each of the following whether you think the risk Trajectory posed in your country will increase, decrease, or stay the same in the next year. [...] • Answer scale 0 – 10 [with 0 the least and 10 the most prepared] • Reversed2 Index scores To produce the final risk index score for each risk in each country we add the mean scores for all five of the inputs above – overall risk, trajectory, severity, imminence, and preparedness. [...] Share thinking risk is imminent Percentage of respondents who answered “now or in the next few months,” “in the next year,” and “in the next 5 years” in answer to the question “For each of the following, please say how imminent a threat you think it is. [...] Radical Islamic terrorism 46 -2 48 14 Use of nuclear weapons 2 The threat of extreme weather by an aggressor 42 -8 42 9 and forest fires is up seven Use of biological weapons by an aggressor 42 -5 39 15 places to fourth position, Use of chemical weapons while climate change is still and poisons by an aggressor 42 -5 37 13 seen as the top risk in India.
Pages
21
Published in
Germany