The 2024 general election is widely seen as a critical moment for the country’s democratic development: During the previous election, in 2019, the ruling SWAPO party lost its two-thirds legislative majority for the first time since 1994, while the party’s presidential candidate, the late President Hage Geingob, saw his share of the vote decline from 87% in 2014 to just 56% (Smith & van Wyk, 2019). [...] ▪ But fewer than half (45%) of citizens say they trust the Electoral Commission of Namibia (ECN), including just 16% who say they trust it “a lot.” o The public’s trust in the ECN is down from a peak of 74% in 2014, a 29-percentage- point decline over the past decade. [...] Figure 7: How free and fair was the 2019 election? | Namibia | 2024 Completely free and fair 6% 10% Free and fair with minor 34% problems Free and fair with major 18% problems Not free and fair 32% Don't know Respondents were asked: On the whole, how would you rate the freeness and fairness of the last national election, held in 2019? Figure 8: 2019 election was free and fair | by demographic grou. [...] Figure 9: 2019 election was free and fair | by trust in the ECN | Namibia | 2024 Respondents who trust the ECN just a 61% little/not at all Respondents who trust the ECN 72% somewhat/a lot 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% See 2019 election as free and fair (completely or with minor problems) Respondents were asked: How much do you trust each of the following, or haven’t you heard enough about them to say:. [...] Institute of Peace, the Norwegian Agency for Development Cooperation via the World Bank Think Africa Project, the Mo Ibrahim Foundation, the Open Society Foundations - Africa, Luminate, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, the Mastercard Foundation, the David and Lucile Packard Foundation, the European Union Commission, the World Bank Group, the Ministry o.
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Table of Contents
- Afrobarometer Dispatch No. 876 Nyasha McBride Mpani and Shannon van Wyk-Khosa 1
- Summary 1
- Afrobarometer surveys 2
- Key findings 2
- Commitment to electoral democracy 2
- Figure 1 Preference for elections 3
- Namibia 2002-2024 3
- Trust in the Electoral Commission of Namibia 3
- Figure 2 Trust in the electoral commission 3
- Namibia 2024 3
- Figure 3 Trust in the electoral commission 4
- Namibia 20032024 4
- Do your own analysis of Afrobarometer data on any 4
- Figure 4 Trust in the electoral commission 5
- Figure 5 Trust in the electoral commission 6
- Southern Africa 20212023 6
- Figure 6 Trust in the electoral commission vs. other key institutions 6
- Namibia 2024 6
- Election quality 7
- Figure 7 How free and fair was the 2019 election 7
- Namibia 2024 7
- Figure 8 2019 election was free and fair 7
- Figure 9 2019 election was free and fair 8
- Voter freedom 8
- Figure 10 Freedom to choose whom to vote for 8
- Namibia 2024 8
- Figure 11 Freedom to choose whom to vote for 9
- Southern Africa 20212023 9
- Conclusion 9
- References 10
- Commonwealth. 2019. Namibia presidential and national assembly elections. 27 November. Kotzé D. 2023. Electoral management for a maturing democracy A look at the contribution of the 10
- South African Electoral Commission. South African Journal of International Affairs 30 3 437-453. 10
- Matheus E. 2024. ECN registers over half a million voters. Namibian. 27 June. Matthys D. 2024. NEFF says ECN is deliberately delaying its party campaign after commission is 10
- Smith S. van Wyk B. 2019. Namibias president wins another term but support drops. 10
- Associated Press. 30 November. 10
