August2020_Key_Statements

Our prediction is the bias-corrected ensemble mean, and the uncertainty range radiative forcing is used prior to 2005 and the RCP4.5 scenario is used for retrospective forecasts reflects the lowest and highest sea ice extents in the 12-member ensemble. [...] Both sea ice concentration and sea ice Both sea ice concentration and sea ice The outlook is produced from the Climate Prediction Center Experimental sea thickness are initialized from the CPC thickness are initialized from the CPC Whole Model: CFSm5 ice forecast system (CFSm5). [...] For the prediction, we used the ice Sea ice concentration on July 15 UTokyo (Kimura et al.) Statistical 4.32 used the ice concentration on July 15 and ice age of the day. [...] tokyo.ac.jp/~kimura_n/arctic/2020-3e.html August 1 to September 30 is available in our website: tokyo.ac.jp/~kimura_n/arctic/2020-3e.html Our contribution is formulated by adding the main contribution part from the The June TOA-RSR model is a statistical model based on the strong September SIE trend (2002~2019) with the anomalous part from the June correlation between the June. [...] The model computes the the probability of a grid-box containing ice on the forecast date.