Democrats' hopes for maintaining control of the U.S. Senate hinge on what happens in Montana, where red-state Democrat Jon Tester is seeking reelection to a fourth term. With Senator Joe Manchin (I-W.Va.) not seeking reelection (and changing his party registration from Democrat to Independent to boot), Tester is the most vulnerable Democrat this cycle. While accustomed to tight races, this race will be his most difficult yet due to the Trump turnout effect, a hyper-nationalized electoral environment, and the rapidly shifting demographics in his state.
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