The killing of Hamas chief Yahya Sinwar in Gaza at the hands of the Israeli military, on October 16, 2024, ended a critical aim for the Jewish state. Sinwar, who took over the reins of Hamas only some months ago after the assassination of then chief Ismail Haniyeh in Iran, in July 2024, was known to be a main architect of the October 7, 2023 terror attacks. As Israel’s core kinetic aims come to fruition, with the elimination of a plethora of leaders from Hamas and Hezbollah, the question of ‘what next?’ remains palpable. Civilian casualties in both Gaza, and now Lebanon, have mounted, and political space in both regions that are under siege continue to persist without a blueprint for any off-ramps. The United States, paralysed with its own domestic electoral requirements, has been unable to turn the keys towards a ceasefire. Others have increasingly looked towards alternatives, including India and China.
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