For example, a saving of 1 per cent of GDP would be enough to boost the size of the NHS workforce by around a third.6 Alternatively, the government could choose to shrink the UK’s public-sector workforce by around a sixth 4 THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF AI ON THE PUBLIC-SECTOR WORK. [...] For these reasons the recent TBI paper Governing in the Age of AI: A New Model to Transform the State advocated for the coordination of AI rollout at the centre of government, including the establishment of an AI Mission Control with regular reporting to the prime minister. [...] FIGURE 10 The net benefits from using AI in the public sector are only somewhat sensitive to assumptions around the cost and speed of rollout Source: TBI calculations using O*NET and Labour Force Survey data 26 THE POTENTIAL IMPACT OF AI ON THE PUBLIC-SECTOR WORKFORCE There are also indirect benefits to the public finances from the rollout of AI. [...] These studies are novel in that they are using ChatGPT as a form of the wisdom of the crowd – on the basis that the LLM was trained on a large volume of data that reflects the accumulated knowledge of the world’s population and provides a probabilistic assessment of the most likely outcome based on that data. [...] Our analysis of the “management analyst” and “project management specialist” professions, both of which involve tasks closely related to those in the study, estimated that the use of AI would introduce a time saving of 24.7 per cent and 19.5 per cent respectively – very close to the empirical results from the study.
- Pages
- 44
- Published in
- United Kingdom
Table of Contents
- _Hlt169263796 7
- _Hlt169263797 7
- _Hlt169690075 14
- _Hlt169690076 14
- _Hlt169879138 18
- _Hlt169879139 18
- _Hlk168612885 19
- _Hlt169703924 21
- _Hlt169703925 21
- _Hlt169708000 41
- _Hlt169708001 41
- Executive Summary 3
- The Potential Impact of AI on Public-Sector Productivity 6
- Methodological Approach 7
- Results 8
- How Could AI Time Savings Affect the Public-Sector Wage Bill? 12
- The Potential Pace of AI Rollout 14
- Costs Associated With AI Adoption in the Public Sector 17
- Data-System Upgrades 17
- AI Talent 18
- Investing in AI Technology 18
- Training Costs 22
- Redundancy Costs 23
- Cost Summary 24
- The Net Benefits of Introducing AI in the Public Sector 25
- How Might Future Developments in AI Increase Cost Savings Further? 29
- Technical Annex: Detailed Methodology 30
