Paradigm Shift in Climate Strategies - From temperature target to emissions target 1.

In the European Union (EU), the ministerial council held in 1996 established a target of limiting global warming to no more than 2°C above the temperature in pre-industrial levels, and encouraged the world to set this to tackle climate change. [...] The first is the abovementioned temperature target (Article 2), and the second is a GHG (Greenhouse Gas) emissions reduction target aimed at realizing the first target. [...] It is important to note here that the Paris Agreement states clearly that the deadline for achieving the emissions target is the second half of this century. [...] Of the scenarios shown, the scenarios with the lowest emissions at 430-480ppmCO2eq (area shown in light blue) marks the pathway toward achieving the 2°C-target. [...] However, the scenarios for achieving the 2°C-target presented by IPCC basically take the premise of a 66% or higher probability of achieving the goal.