Concept paper - Three scenarios for world order after COVID-19:

This is especially the case in institutions such as the WTO and the UN and its ancillary organisations, for example, the WHO, UNCTAD, and the FAO, and the Bretton Woods institutions, the IMF and World Bank, all of which have been increasingly challenged by the destructive tendencies of the current US administration and the predatory, expansionist tendencies of China, with its desires to gain great. [...] Thirdly, that the EU and influential middle powers, such as Australia, Canada, South Korea, and the Nordics, can think and act multilaterally in the absence of the leadership, or even the support, of the US. [...] Absent the presence of the US, the EU, Australia, Canada, Singapore, and twelve other members have established a Multiparty Interim Appeal Arrangement (MPIA) to substitute for the Arbitration Dispute Mechanism rendered inquorate and non-functioning by the refusal of the US to ratify the appointment of judges to the Appellate Body. [...] At the most basic of levels, in contrast to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis, in which the G20 played the role of crisis-buster, neither the G20, nor the G7, have yet made anything other than minor contributions to the containment of, or provision for, the management of the post-COVID-19 era. [...] What happens to the WHO over the short-to-near-term future will be a fundamental test of the ability of the international order to function for the greater collective good.