International Journal of Water Management and Diplomacy e-ISSN:2717-8277

Just like in this study, revealing the possible relations between the previous regional conflicts and the changes in land use, drought, and water use will be beneficial in terms of evaluating the possible threats in the future. [...] Different climate types arise from geographical differences in the country because of the coastal areas in the Mediterranean, deserts in the middle, and forests in the north and the northwestern regions (Albrecht, Schmidt, Mißler-Behr and Spyra, 2014). [...] The temporal variation of the GWS values, which can be evaluated together with the examination of the LUCs in the region, has also been evaluated within the scope of this study. [...] The temporal variation of the precipitation parameter, which may affect the temporal variation of groundwater and other water resources in the region, has been determined in the study, and the long-term trend of SPEI values has also been revealed. [...] While the current water stress in the study area is “low-medium” in the northeast, “extremely high” in the centre, and “high” in the west based on Aqueduct (2015), it will be “medium-high” in the northeast, “extremely high” in the centre and “high” in the west for all the scenarios, which are optimistic (SSP2 RCP4.5), business as usual (SSP2 RCP8.5) and pessimistic (SSP3 RCP8.5), in 2030 and 2040.