027 – 12 April 2022 The authors' views are their own and do not represent the official position of the Institute of Defence and Strategic Studies of the S. [...] 027/2022 dated 8 April 2022 A Hard Sell: Russian Arms Exports to Asia Following the Invasion of Ukraine Richard A Bitzinger and Kenneth Boutin SYNOPSIS Russia’s importance as an arms supplier to Asian states likely will decline in the short term as a result of Russia’s arms requirements, the sanctions imposed following its invasion of Ukraine, and the perceived poor performance of Russian arms in. [...] Russian arms losses in Ukraine, including of combat aircraft, helicopters, air defence systems and tanks, are such that the Russian government will need to devote significant production capacity to replenishing its arsenal, unless it is prepared to prioritise exports in the interest of generating export revenue. [...] Russia is less vulnerable to sanctions as a result of measures it implemented in response to the sanctions imposed on it following its seizure of the Crimea in 2014 and will endeavour to offset the effects of this new round of sanctions. [...] The Demand for Russian Arms In addition to the factors discussed above, Russian arms exports will be affected by three demand-related issues: international censure, the disappointing performance of Russian military equipment in the Ukraine war, and Russia’s restricted access to the international finance and banking system.
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