ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, STRATEGIC STABILITY AND NUCLEAR RISK - , ,

This report is the final publication of this two-year research project funded by the Carnegie Corporation of New York; it presents the key findings and recommendations of the SIPRI authors derived from their research as well as a series of regional and transregional workshop organized in Europe, East and South Asia and the USA. [...] Factors that matter include the size and sophistication of conventional and nuclear arsenals, the speed of techno- logical adoption, geographic and geopolitical tensions, technological symmetry or asymmetry, and the status and maturity of the strategic relationships. [...] Understanding the AI renaissance and its impact on nuclear weapons and related systems In order to understand why nuclear-armed states and military powers in general see AI as a key enabler of their current and future military modernization plans, it is useful to start with a brief overview of the current state of AI (section I) and the types of capability that nuclear-armed states could derive fr. [...] Narrow AI applications have been used for civilian and military purposes since the 1960s.25 A constant in the public debate has been the use of the concept of AI to refer to the newest computer technologies. [...] The level of autonomy of a system can be analysed from three different and independent perspectives (see figure 2.3): (a) based on the extent to which humans are involved in the exe cution of the task carried out by the system; (b) based on the extent to which the system can exercise control over its own behaviour and deal with uncertainties in its operating environment; and (c) based on the numbe.