Policy Brief_Ukraine war_final

Disclaimer: The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this policy brief do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area, or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. [...] Concluding remarks 29 References 30 3 THE WAR IN UKRAINE: IMPACTS, EXPOSURE AND POLICY ISSUES IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC Summary This policy brief provides a provisional analysis greater risk because their economic structure and of the multifaceted socioeconomic implications conditions are more exposed to higher energy and of the war in Ukraine on Asia-Pacific economies. [...] the scenario that global oil price reaches $120 per barrel on average in 2022 (figure A), the output As a result of higher inflation and lower private level in Asia and the Pacific could decline by up to consumption, the number of poor people in Asia 0.5 per cent relative to the baseline (figure B, panel and the Pacific would rise. [...] If the conflict the Black Sea and the Sea of Azov and interrupted continues and there are prolonged disruptions of call for ships are dampening vessel traffics and the transport connections, the affected Asia-Pacific distribution of oil, gas and grain and exacerbating countries will need to consider alternatives for re- port congestions in Europe. [...] 22 THE WAR IN UKRAINE: IMPACTS, EXPOSURE AND POLICY ISSUES IN ASIA AND THE PACIFIC C BOX 4: UN GLOBAL HEATMAP OF RISK EXPOSURE TO THE WAR IN UKRAINE UNCTAD and the five United Nations regional The preliminary results show that Armenia, Georgia, economic commissions are jointly assessing Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have high overall risk country-level risk exposure to the war in exposure due to their.