Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment - Karolina Hird, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Mason Clark June 10, 4:00 pm ET

1 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 2 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 We do not report in detail on Russian war crimes because those activities are well- covered in Western media and do not directly affect the military operations we are assessing and forecasting. [...] Ukrainian sources, including the Ukrainian General Staff and Head of the Luhansk Regional State Administration Serhiy Haidai, noted that Ukrainian troops still control the Azot Industrial zone and the Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway but did not provide any more details on the situation within the city.vii Russian forces continued to heavily shell Lysychansk, Ustynivka, Toshkivka, and Zolote, likely to. [...] 3 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 4 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 Russian forces continued to prepare for offensive operations from the southeast of Izyum and west of Lyman toward Slovyansk and likely made marginal gains north of Slovyansk on June 10.ix The Ukrainian General Staff stated that 30 Russian battalion tactical. [...] xiv The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces are conducting ground assaults on Nyrkove, Mykolaivka, Nahirne, and Berestove (all settlements east of Bakhmut along the T1302 Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway) and that they are advancing on the Vozdvyzhenka-Roty line from the south of Bakhmut.xv 5 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 6 Institute for the Study. [...] Russian forces continued defensive operations to prevent further Ukrainian advances toward the international border and fired on Ukrainian positions in and around Kharkiv City.xvi 7 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 8 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022 Supporting Effort #2—Southern Axis (Objective: Defend Kherson and Zaporizhia O.