This projection update indicates similarly high levels of food insecurity compared to the first half of the year (January-May 2022); however, the update shows an improvement in the food security outlook compared with the projection June-December 2022 from the previous IPC analysis conducted in February 2022. [...] The shift of populations from IPC Phase 4 IPC Acute Food Insecurity (Emergency) and IPC Phase 5 (Catastrophe) to lower phases resulted in Phase Classification the increase of the number of districts classified in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis), from 94 (Jun-Dec projection) to 140 (Oct-Dec update). [...] The humanitarian assistance targeting strategy is reflective of severity, prioritizing the most vulnerable districts, and this rationalizes the fall of the large IPC Phase 5 population estimated in the February projection analysis. [...] While the improved funding allows for maintaining the geographical coverage, including an increased frequency of distribution cycles compared to reality in the first half of 2022, food rations remain reduced compared to the assumption used in February for the projection (-300Kcal/per person/per day) against the per capita average minimum requirement of 2,100 kcal. [...] The projection update indicates an increase in severity, with AMN projection (July-Dec) from the 17 districts having changed to a worse Phase compared to the February analysis projection, February 2022 analysis and reviewed the including nine districts in Al Mahra that moved from Alert to Serious, and eight districts conclusions, factoring in the unanticipated in Aden moving from Serious to Critic.
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