Applying an escalation framework for considering US/NATO- Russian stability in the Russo-Ukrainian war In several studies examining the nature of escalation in armed conflict that predate the war in Ukraine, the authors group escalation into a variety of different categories, including horizontal and vertical.10 This section of the report examines a selection of real and hypothetical escalation sc. [...] According to the 2008 RAND report, these could include the use of additional types of weapons, types of targets, and the frequency of attacks.29 In the context of the Russo-Ukrainian war, such instances of vertical escalation between US/NATO and Russia could include a variety of actions. [...] CNA Occasional Paper | 7 denazifying Ukraine” to later ensuring the “neutrality” of Ukraine—military, economic, and political.35 On July 29, 2022, Putin stated that the “ultimate aim” of the war in Ukraine is “the liberation of the Donbas, the defense of its people, and the creation of conditions which would guarantee the security of Russia itself.”36 Ukraine’s war aims have been primarily to driv. [...] This war will require the mobilization of all available material resources and spiritual forces of the participating states.”56 While some Western analysts believe Russia perceives the Russo-Ukrainian war is at the local level57 perhaps due to the geographical confines of the conflict and the fact that only Ukraine is an official combatant, others have questioned this, particularly given the accus. [...] The pumping of Ukraine by NATO countries with weapons, the training of its troops to use Western equipment, the dispatch of mercenaries and the conduct of exercises by the countries of the Alliance near our borders increase the likelihood of a direct and open conflict between NATO and Russia instead of their ‘war by proxy.’ 2.
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