20.500.12592/2hr502
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment Christina Harward, Riley Bailey, Nicole Wolkov, Grace Mappes,
30 September 2023
Summary
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces attacked north of Robotyne (10km south of Orikhiv) and near Verbove (18km southeast of Orikhiv) and Novoprokopivka (13km south of Orikhiv) on September 28 and 29.1 Russian milbloggers claimed on September 29 that Ukrainian forces unsuccessfully attempted to advance east of the railway line south of Bakhmut near Klishchiivka (7km southwest of Bakhmut) a. [...] A Russian insider source claimed on September 4 that Gerasimov wants to conserve Russian forces for the defense of Melitopol and Berdyansk, possibly at the expense of defending Tokmak.26 Social media sources circulated this rumor on September 27 and 28 after which the Russian insider source claimed that Gerasimov is also willing to withdraw forces from Bakhmut and prefers to defend Melitopol to pr. [...] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled a Russian attack near Klishchiivka.39 A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces unsuccessfully counterattacked near Andriivka, Klishchiivka, and Hryhorivka (8km northwest of Bakhmut).40 Another milblogger claimed that Russian forces have regrouped near Klishchiivka and plan to recapture the settlement, but these Russian for. [...] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Ukrainian forces repelled Russian attacks south of Avdiivka and Tonenke (7km northwest of Avdiivka) and near Nevelske (directly west of Donetsk City), Marinka (on the southwestern outskirts of Donetsk City), and Novomykhailivka (10km southwest of Donetsk City).44 Russian sources claimed on September 28 that unspecified elements of the Russian 150th Motoriz. [...] The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian forces unsuccessfully attacked near Robotyne, Verbove, and Chervone (9km east of Hulyaipole).54 A Russian milblogger claimed that Russian forces attacked on the western outskirts of Robotyne but did not specify an outcome.55 Russian air defenses reportedly shot down a Russian Su-35 fighter jet near Tokmak on September 29, although the situation rem.
