TRADE & INDUSTRIAL POLICY STRATEGIES - National Employment

The impacts are, however, difficult to distinguish in some cases from the effects of the slowdown in the South African and global economy over the past five years. [...] Similarly, the coal value chain has a greater level of participation in the UIF than the rest of the economy, ranging from over 90% in coal to around 75% in basic chemicals. [...] Except in the case of auto manufacturing, which is centred in the metros of Gauteng, the Eastern Cape and KwaZulu Natal, the impact is likely to be dispersed across the country. [...] The ability to adapt to the climate crisis differs substantially between workers and their communities in the formal agro-industrial value chain, on the one hand, and households in the historic labour-sending regions on the other for which gardening and livestock constitute a subordinate component in complex livelihood strategies. [...] That in turn requires analysis of the potential impacts on the value chain and where in the value chain they are likely to materialise; when they are likely to materialise; and the number, nature and location of livelihoods that stand to be threatened as a result.