The epidemiologic transition theory revisited thirty years later

All of the transitions involved tion encompasses the changing disease and health in both the dependent and independent variables patterns ( the health transition), the changing fertil are the subject of epidemiological study and, hence, ity and population age structure leading to ageing are encompassed by the epidemiologic transition. [...] The Fifth stage is discussed later in the During the transition, a long-term shift occurs in paper, in the conclusion, under the ti tle Into the patterns of mortality, disease and survival whereby future. [...] It continued in the West Mortality from tuberculosis began to decline toward until, the late 18th or early l 9th centuries, but contin the end of this stage and was responsible for part of ued until the middle decades of the 20th century in the decline in general mortality. [...] Despite the decline in rates, the and a death rate of 648/100 OOO population in absolute number of births is huge and contributes contrast to the European prevalence rate of 153, to the tenacious overpopulation problem. [...] The mortal of the transition; (c) Many countries in this model ity dynamics, prevalence of various causes of death, exhibit a continuing rise in cardiovascular mortality and fertility patterns fall between those in the rapid and some members of the former USSR have, as and slow models.