cover image: Employment dynamics in a rapid decarbonization of the power sector

20.500.12592/70rz1ks

Employment dynamics in a rapid decarbonization of the power sector

5 Dec 2023

Our model is dynamic: in each year of the analysis, we update the links in the IO network to represent the change in the deployment of energy technologies (e.g., when the coal power share of electricity production is reduced in favor of wind energy, industries and households switch part of their demand from coal power to wind). [...] The upper panels show the capacities in GW and the lower panels the electricity generation in TWh in yearly resolution. [...] In testing the sensitivity of our analysis against some of the key uncertainties in the modeling (see SM Section D.4) we find that the net growth in the number of workers at the peak in 2034 can be between 450,000 and 800,000, with around 580,000 being our base case. [...] 3, we plot the change in demand for all occupations during the initial scale-up phase against the change in demand during the later scale-down phase of the power system transition. [...] 7We calculate the combined demand change by taking the square root of the sum of squared changes in demand in the scale-up and scale-down phases.

Authors

Paul Simpkins

Pages
62
Published in
United Kingdom