FACTSHEET - VULNERABILITY OF 263 PROTETED AND CONSERVED AREAS TO CLIMATE CHANGE ACROSS

PROJECTED CHANGES IN CLIMATE ACROSS SUB SAHARAN AFRICA According to the IPCC fifth assessment report, According to the IPCC fifth assessment mean annual temperature increases are report, mean annual precipitation for the projected to exceed 2°C above the baseline over Mediterranean region of Northern Africa and most of the continent by the mid-21st century most of Southern Africa is projected to d. [...] predicted to experience a marginal change in total annual precipitation of between -6% and The Southern and far Northern parts of Sub- 6%, and the vast majority of protected areas Saharan Africa are predicted to get relatively (94.9%) are predicted to experience an increase hotter than the rest of the region. [...] ● Protected areas of GVL have the highest predicted future The landscape whose conservation areas have the highest resource pressure compared to the other landscapes (a mean mean potential climate impact on biodiversity score is indicated score of 82.0 versus 54.3 for KAZA, 65.2 for SOKNOT and by dark red, while the landscape whose conservation areas 41.6 for TRIDOM). [...] The capacity to adapt was highest for Protected areas of the Indian Ocean Islands (a mean score of 89.7) and lowest for Protected areas of Southern Africa (51.8). [...] Vulnerability was highest for protected areas of southern Africa (a mean vulnerability score of 23.0) and lowest for protected areas of Central Africa (16.2) Vulnerability was highest for protected areas within Kenya (a mean score of 27.3) and lowest for Gabon (13.6).