In sides to divide, and has raised the question creasingly isolated and Russia less inclined the wake of Russia’s full-scale military inva- of the continued presence of Russian mili- to intervene in the face of potential attacks. [...] Notwithstanding the role of external actors, a region that has traditionally served as a the three states in the South Caucasus are gateway for projecting Russian influence in Against this broader geopolitical and eco- important actors in their own right, and the the Middle East and the Caspian region. [...] The first views prioritize the benefits of the oil trade and the defeat in the war against Azerbaijan Economic factors also play an important do not object to Turkey’s increased role in and the expulsion of the local Armenian role in this complex geopolitical environ- the region. [...] the regime, as popular mobilization against The way forward will largely depend on the the Armenian enemy and the injustice of West’s desired level of normative engage- These interpretations have yet to be tested the occupation has been a key unifying fac- ment in the region. [...] Thus, in the coming Consequences for Western Policies In sum, the evolving situation in the South years, Armenia will grapple with a multidi- The 2020–2023 Karabakh wars have sig- Caucasus underscores the need for the West mensional crisis of potentially existential nificantly changed the power relations in to reevaluate its approach to the region.
- Pages
- 4
- Published in
- Switzerland
