Mass Attitudes toward ‘One Person, One Vote’ in the Wake of Puntland’s 2024 Electoral Crisis

Response rates were somewhat lower than in previous studies conducted in Somalia, owing to the topic of the survey and the need to complete fieldwork quickly.1 Women made up 59.8% of recruited respondents and 57.6% of the final sample – in line with our past experience, female respondents tend to have greater availability, resulting in overrepresentation and non-response bias.2 The average cluster. [...] 6 Although the question was about general support for a party and their vision for Puntland, as opposed to support in the May 25 elections, may respondents appear to have interpreted the question to ask the party they supported in the local government polls. [...] According to the Puntland Electoral Commission, 67.5% of registered voters turned out to vote.9 As is the case in many contexts, self-reported turnout was higher in our survey than the official tally: excluding voters and registrants in the Nugaal districts where elections were not held, 69.5% of our respondents report voting in the May 25 elections. [...] In contrast to the very strong support for OPOV elections in the context of 2029, our data shows that a majority of voters took the move away from OPOV in stride. [...] Second, we presented respondents questions that made explicit the tradeoffs that might apply to OPOV elections, and asked them which was more important in the context of the current (now ended) transition cycle: • Increasing the participation of citizens in the process • Ensuring peace and stability in Puntland When forced to select between two outcomes, each of which is desirable and has strong p.