Migrants and refugees, who increasingly transit through Guatemala on their way to, primarily, North America, may also be In 2023, El Niño contributed to low and erratic rainfall, short periods of extreme at increased risk of drought and heat-related needs because of their limited rainfall events, and consistently high temperatures in many parts of Guatemala access to shelter, WASH, and health infr. [...] Most CHILDREN affected communities in the Dry Corridor are small-scale or subsistence Forecasts predict a 40–50% chance of above-average rainfall in southern EXPERIENCING farmers and day labourers, whose coping capacities were already diminished Guatemala between March–May 2024 (WMO accessed 07/03/2024; ECMWF CHRONIC at the start of El Niño in 2023 as a result of years of erratic rainfall in this. [...] Temperatures of up to 37° C are INFORM CLIMATE water, which may increase the spread of water and sanitation-related illnesses, expected along the south coast and in the central highlands region, including CHANGE RISK SCORE aggravating malnutrition and potentially contributing to Guatemala’s current in the capital, Guatemala city (INSUVIMEH 29/02/2024; Prensa Libre 26/02/2024). [...] Atypical rainfall delayed the 2023 primera (April–May), postrera (September–October), and postrera final (November–December) planting seasons, resulting in drought-related agricultural damage in WASH and health the Alta Verapaz department, southern provinces, and some of the Dry Corridor and excess rain damage in Alta Verapaz, Huehuetenango, Quiché, and Petén departments. [...] While the 2023–2024 El Niño Southern Oscillation has aggravated Guatemala’s current drought and high temperatures, the Dry Corridor in particular has seen more erratic and Drought and associated humanitarian needs also increase the migration of Guatemalans, intense weather patterns for several years, characterised by a later rainy season and more both to urban centres and abroad (FAO 2021).
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