cover image: Small scale technology certificate projections 2024-2028

20.500.12592/zkh1fg9

Small scale technology certificate projections 2024-2028

30 Nov 2023

ACIL Allen shall not be liable in respect of any claim arising out of the failure of a client investment to perform to the advantage of the client or to the advantage of the client to the degree suggested or assumed in any advice or forecast given by ACIL Allen. [...] For commercial installations, the projected probabilities are applied to remaining eligible commercial rooftop space in kW.4 For residential installations, the capacity of new residential installations is determined by applying an assumed capacity (kW) per installation to the projected number of installations produced by the model. [...] Source: ACIL Allen analysis Total STC creations from solar PV are projected to decline across the projection period due to the combination of the drivers of declining installations described earlier and the falling deeming period. [...] The higher cost in 2022 is because of an increase in the unsubsidised price of systems and a reduction in the STC subsidy due to declining deeming period. [...] ACIL Allen chooses the Strong Electrification scenario over the Step Change scenario as the basis for the demand projection as the electrification load in the Step Change scenario is insufficient to decarbonise the stationary energy and gas sectors outside of NEM generation.
Pages
38
Published in
Australia