Challenging Biases and Assumptions in Analysis - Could Israel Have Averted

The designations employed and the presentation of the material on the maps in this report do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries. [...] For 35 years, she served in a wide range of national security positions, including the Office of the Director of National Intelligence, the Central Intelligence Agency, the National Security Council, and the U. [...] While in no way excusing Hamas’ culpability for 7 October, we also cannot dismiss the fact that the failure to anticipate and prepare for such an attack has had grave consequences for communities on both sides of this conflict, undermined efforts to bring peace and prosperity to the region, and affected global interests through the expansion of the conflict to the Red Sea and potentially beyond. [...] probabilities) and qualitative rationales about the likelihood of future events and risks from a large, organizationally and demographically diverse group Challenging Biases and Assumptions in Analysis: Could Israel Have Averted Intelligence Failure? Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs | Harvard Kennedy School 1 of people, and then aggregating them into a “crowd” forecast. [...] Considering the regional influences driver as an example, possible signals would include the health of Hamas funding streams, the tempo and content of cooperation between and the goals of its “Axis of Resistance” partners, and the prospects for Israel’s normalization with Saudi Arabia.