Russia will keep using the semi-exclave to provoke its neighbours and fuel its belligerent anti-Western rhetoric
Authors
- Published in
- Denmark
Table of Contents
- Introduction 5
- Explanatory notes 7
- Historical and geographical outline 9
- Kaliningrad Oblast today 13
- Politics 14
- Economy and demographics 16
- Military 23
- Kaliningrad Oblast and Russia’s neo-conservative narrative 25
- The unwelcome pre-1945 past 26
- A role model of officially defined Russianness 27
- The Russia-wide perspective 28
- The international environment of the Kaliningrad Oblast 31
- Before 2012: An open playing field? 32
- 2012-2020: a narrowing of perspectives, and increased central control 35
- Run-up to the 2022 invasion of Ukraine; the Vistula Lagoon and the Suwalki Gap 38
- The war in Ukraine: the role of the Kaliningrad Oblast 41
- Military participation 42
- Relation to Crimea, Kherson, and areas of protracted conflict 43
- Post-2022 transit issues: immediate future of road, rail and sea links 44
- Kaliningrad Oblast and security in the Baltic Sea Region 47
- Prigozhin’s mutiny and its consequences 48
- GUGI, sea- and air-denial activities 49
- Kaliningrad Oblast and Bornholm 51
- Conclusion 53
- Notes 58
- References 59
