The Balochistan Renewable Energy Development Study is a continuation of the World Bank's previous works on analyzing Pakistan’s variable renewable energy (VRE) potential, mainly the VRE locational study report, which was published in 2021. This study crystallizes the previous results, going into greater depth using the latest data and information for the province of Balochistan where the RE potential is greater and at the lowest cost than in any other province, offering the potential to transform the province into a net exporter of energy within the country, and thereby facilitate its economic and social development. The objective of this study is to generate interest in and political commitment to the strategic development of utility-scale solar and wind power in Balochistan to help meet Pakistan’s ambitious RE targets for the power sector and support the broader transition necessary to achieve “affordable, reliable, sustainable, and modern energy for all.” This study is intended to support federal and provincial policy development, investment planning, and project concept preparation. VRE could drastically reduce the burden on Pakistan’s economy imposed by the high cost of importing fuels - oil, gas, or coal, and in Balochistan, the VRE costs are the least in Pakistan.
Authors
- Citation
- “ World Bank . 2024 . Balochistan Renewable Energy Development Study . Pakistan Sustainable Energy Series; . © Washington, DC: World Bank . http://hdl.handle.net/10986/41876 License: CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO . ”
- Collection(s)
- Energy Study
- Identifier externaldocumentum
- 34354129
- Identifier internaldocumentum
- 34354129
- Pages
- 173
- Published in
- United States of America
- Region country
- Pakistan
- RelationisPartofseries
- Pakistan Sustainable Energy Series;
- Report
- 192174
- Rights
- CC BY-NC 3.0 IGO
- Rights Holder
- World Bank
- Rights URI
- https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/3.0/igo
- UNIT
- Infra SAR Energy 1 (ISAE1)
- URI
- https://hdl.handle.net/10986/41876
- date disclosure
- 2024-07-16
- region administrative
- South Asia
- theme
- Energy Efficiency,Mitigation,Access to Energy,Energy,Energy Policies & Reform,Environment and Natural Resource Management,Climate change
Files
Table of Contents
- Rights and Permissions 2
- Attribution 3
- Disclaimer 3
- Contents 4
- List of Figures 7
- List of Tables 10
- ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS 12
- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 14
- Main Findings 15
- Policy Recommendations and Proposed Next Steps. 21
- INTRODUCTION 23
- 1.1 Country and Sectoral Context 23
- 1.2 Study Context and Objective 24
- 2 METHODOLOGY AND ASSUMPTIONS 25
- Until 2028 Distributed PV 32
- Until 2033 Gigawatt Hybrid Parks 32
- 2.2 Status of Electricity Sector in Pakistan and Balochistan 34
- Generation 37
- Transmission 38
- Distribution 38
- 2.3 VRE Resources and Technology in Balochistan 44
- Parabolic Trough 52
- Central Tower 53
- Conclusion 54
- 3 ELECTRICITY DEMAND AND GRID ANALYSIS 55
- 4 SHORT-TERM OPTIONS UNTIL 2028 67
- 4.1 Utility-Scale Plants 67
- Kuchlak Site Characteristics 70
- Sizing of System 70
- Economic Evaluation 72
- Sample Plant Description 73
- Conclusions for CSP 74
- 4.2 Demand from Mining until 2028 83
- 4.3 Impact of distributed PV 89
- 5 LONGER-TERM OPPORTUNITIES UNTIL 95
- 2033 95
- 5.1 Gigawatt Hybrid Park 95
- Economic summary 100
- 5.2 Electricity Export Options 105
- 5.3 Green Ammonia Hydrogen 108
- 6 FINANCIAL AND ECONOMICAL EVALUATION 118
- 6.1 Financial evaluation 118
- 6.2 Finance 124
- 6.3 Economic evaluation 126
- Local stakeholder perspective 126
- Industry Perspective 127
- Balochistan Perspective 128
- National Electricity Supply Perspective 129
- Pakistan perspective 130
- Financial market perspective 131
- Global perspective 132
- 7 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDED 134
- ACTIONS 134
- 7.1 Conclusion 134
- 7.2 Recommended Actions 135
- National and Institutional Support 135
- Project responsibility 135
- Political Support 136
- Key Decisions Needed 137
- Project Responsibility 137
- National support 138
- 8 REFERENCES 140
- ANNEX A CONCENTRATED SOLAR POWER 143
- TECHNOLOGY 143
- A.1 CSP Technology Cost 143
- A.2 Site Selection 145
- A.3 Environmental Impact of CSP 146
- ANNEX B SOCIOECONOMIC IMPACT 148
- B.1 Overview 148
- B.2 Impact on Job Creation 149
- B.3 Impact of increased employment on GDP 150
- B.4 Local Participation 152
- ANNEX C HYDROGEN MODEL 155
- ANNEX D FINANCIAL AND ECONOMIC 157
- MODEL 157
- D.1 Project Opportunity Evaluation Model 157
- D.2 Financial assumptions 158
- D.3 CAPEX and OPEX assumptions 158
- D.4 Economic Assumptions 160
- D.5 Economic details of options 162
- D.6 Mining statistics 171