Given the dominance of snow and ice melt, their hydrological budget is particularly vulnerable to climate change (Barnett et al., 2005). [...] HDSM is conceptual as it uses a simplified representation of the hydrological processes to compute the water balance. [...] Consequently, the results of applying the model to long time intervals need to be interpreted with caution and this is undoubtedly a limit, although Puschiasis et al. [...] The characteristics of the three basins studied are summarized in Table 1. [...] The two products were merged and gaps filled using the method of Gascoin et al. (2015). [...] per year for the glaciers in the Chon Kyzyl-Suu basin, and is identical to the mean observed net mass balance of the Kara-Batkak glacier in 2013-2020 (Figure 5). [...] The state and future of the cryosphere in Central Asia. Water Security 11, 100072. [...] River flow regime and snow cover of the Pamir Alay (Central Asia) in a changing climate. [...] Attribution of streamflow trends in snow and glacier melt-dominated catchments of the Tarim River, Central Asia. [...] Flow chart of the HDSM model in the absence of a lake..
Authors
Pierre Chevallier, Rysbek Satylkanov, François Delclaux, Simon Gascoin, Bakyt Ermenbaev, Jean-François Crétaux
- Bibliographic Reference
- Pierre Chevallier, Rysbek Satylkanov, François Delclaux, Simon Gascoin, Bakyt Ermenbaev, et al.. Current and future water balance of a mountain subcatchment of Issyk-Kul Lake, Tien Shan range, Kyrgyzstan. Science of the Total Environment, 2023, 897, pp.165363. ⟨10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165363⟩. ⟨hal-04162577⟩
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165363
- HAL Collection
- ['IRD - Institut de recherche pour le développement', "Sciences De l'Environnement", "INSU - Institut National des Sciences de l'Univers", 'Météo France', 'Université Paul Sabatier - Toulouse III', 'CNRS - Centre national de la recherche scientifique', "CNES - Centre national d'études spatiales", 'Observatoire Midi-Pyrénées', "CESBIO : Centre d'études spatiales de la biosphère", 'Hydrosciences Montpellier', 'GIP Bretagne Environnement', 'Université de Montpellier', 'Institut National de Recherche en Agriculture, Alimentation et Environnement', 'INRAE Occitanie Toulouse', 'Université Toulouse 3', 'Université Toulouse III / Toulouse INP', 'Université de Montpellier (2015-2021)', 'Université de Montpellier - EPE', 'Réseau "Systèmes Agricoles et Eau"']
- HAL Identifier
- 4242142
- Institution
- ['Institut de Recherche pour le Développement', "Institut national des sciences de l'Univers", 'Université Toulouse III - Paul Sabatier', "Centre National d'Études Spatiales [Toulouse]", 'Météo-France', 'Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement']
- Laboratory
- ['Hydrosciences Montpellier', "Centre d'études spatiales de la biosphère"]
- Published in
- France
Table of Contents
- Current and future water balance 2
- Issyk-Kul Lake Tien Shan range 2
- Kyrgyzstan 2
- Keywords 2
- Abstract 2
- 1. Introduction 3
- 2. Material and method 4
- 2.1. Model description 4
- 2.2. Study site Chon Kyzyl-Suu sub-catchment 5
- 2.3. Method 7
- 2.4. Future scenarios 8
- 3. Results 9
- 3.1. Present 9
- 3.2. Future trends 10
- 4. Discussion 10
- 4.1. Uncertainties 10
- 4.2. Present 11
- 4.3. Future trends 13
- 5. Conclusion 14
- Acknowledgements and funding 14
- References 15
- Table captions 19
- Figure captions 19
- Fig1-rev.png 28
- HDSMdiagram1-rev.jpg 29
- Fig3.png 30
- Fig4-rev2.png 31
- Fig5.png 32
- Fig6-rev2.png 33
- Fig7-rev2.png 34
- Fig8-rev2.png 35
