Management and business and technical; education, training, and library financial operations occupations will account occupations will offer the best combination of for more than one-third of good jobs on the a large number of jobs and the highest share of bachelor’s degree pathway in 2031. [...] The likelihood of obtaining a good job7 will increase on the bachelor’s degree pathway, and will decline on the high school and middle-skills pathways; and Roughly 8 out of 10 jobs on the bachelor’s degree pathway will meet the earnings threshold of a good job, compared to half of jobs on the middle-skills pathway and just over a third of jobs on the high school pathway. [...] 12 The Future of Good Jobs | Projections through 2031 2 While the bachelor’s degree pathway offers the greatest opportunity, good jobs will still be available on the high school and middle-skills pathways: 16.4 million good jobs (19 percent of all good jobs) will be on the middle-skills pathway, 13.2 million good jobs (15 percent of all good jobs) will be on the high school pathway, However, tog. [...] 3 Managerial and professional office occupations will be the largest source of good jobs in 2031: Collectively, the managerial and professional office occupations will add the largest number of good jobs (6.2 million) through 2031, and 84 percent of good managerial and professional office jobs will be on the bachelor’s degree pathway. [...] The Future of Good Jobs | Projections through 2031 29 PART III The Occupations with the Largest Number of Good Jobs on Each Educational Pathway in 2031 Certain occupations will offer a larger share of good jobs in 2031, but the extent of the opportunity available will vary by educational pathway.
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- United States of America
Table of Contents
- The Future The Future of Good Jobs of Good Jobs The Future The Future of Good Jobs of Good Jobs 1
- Reprint Permission 2
- Acknowledgments 3
- Foreword 4
- Three Pathways to Good Jobs in 2031 10
- Promising occupations 13
- What makes a good job 14
- PART I 14
- The looming demographic cliff will slow the growth of the US labor force. 16
- Inflation has stabilized and a recession has not materialized. 17
- Federal infrastructure investments provide a boost to blue-collar and middle-skills work. 18
- Automation and technological change will likely lead to short-term labor market disruptions but will create new job roles over the long-term. 19
- Job quality is receiving increasing attention from policymakers. 21
- Skills-based hiring will present new opportunities for middle-skills workers. 22
- The 2031 Labor MarketGrowth in Good Jobs and Demand for More Education 24
- PART II 24
- The Occupations with the Largest Number of Good Jobs on Each Educational Pathway in 2031 29
- PART III 29
- Where will the greatest opportunities be for good jobs on each educational pathway 31
- The Interplay between Occupations and Education Will Drive Demand for Good Jobs 34
- PART IV 34
- Workers on the bachelors degree pathway will experience growth in good jobs across most occupational groups. 37
- Forty-four percent of good jobs on the bachelors degree pathway will demand graduate degrees. 38
- Workers on the middle-skills pathway will experience significant growth in good jobs in many professional white-collar occupations as well as some traditional blue-collar occupations. 40
- Workers on the high school pathway will experience a decline in good jobs across many occupational groups. 41
- Promising Occupations for Workers on Each Educational Pathway 43
- PART V 43
- Promising occupations offer a way to better understand future good jobs opportunities on each educational pathway. 45
- The bachelors degree pathway offers the largest number of promising occupational groups. 46
- The middle-skills pathway offers a variety of promising blue-collar healthcare and protective services occupations. 52
- The high school pathway offers just one promising occupational group. 55
- Conclusion 56
- References 59
- APPENDIX A 65
- Methodology 65
- APPENDIX B 68
- Good Jobs Thresholds by Cost of Living by State 68
- APPENDIX C 70
- Occupational Groups to BLS Occupation Groups Crosswalk 70
- APPENDIX D 71
- Additional Information on the Promising Occupational Groups on the Three Educational Pathways 71
- Promising occupations on the bachelors degree pathway 71
- Promising occupations on the middle-skills pathway 79
- Promising occupations on the high school pathway 82
