A key determinant of Israel’s presumptive bargaining advantage would lie in immediate policy shifts from “deliberate nuclear ambiguity” to “selective nuclear disclosure.”1 The success of such shifts will depend, however, on the decision-making rationality2 of the Iranian leadership and on whether Israel fixes its operational focus on the prevention of a nuclear war, either intentional or unintenti. [...] In military parlance, Israel’s shift to forms of selective nuclear disclosure would be intended to ensure the Jewish State’s success in the expanding struggle for “escalation dominance.”12 The deterrence advantages for Israel of moving from deliberate nuclear ambiguity to selective nuclear disclosure would lie, in part, in the signal it could telegraph to a still non-nuclear Iran. [...] In the absence of calculations that compare the costs and benefits of all strategic alternatives, what will happen in the imminent Israel-Iran war must remain a matter of conjecture. [...] The task of theory is confined to the construction of a deductive apparatus, to be used in deriving logically necessary conclusions from given assumptions.” 8 The term “dialectic” originates from the Greek expression for the art of conversation. [...] Still earlier, see: Hugo Grotius, Of the Causes of 18 I Could Israel’s Nuclear Deterrent Support “Escalation Dominance” Against Iran? War, and First of Self-Defense, and Defense of Our Property, reprinted in 2 Classics of International Law, 168-75 (Carnegie Endowment Trust, 1925) (1625); and Emmerich de Vattel, The Right of Self-Protection and the Effects of the Sovereignty and Independence of Nat.
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Table of Contents
- Prof. Louis René Beres 5
- EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 5
- The first step Adapting Israels nuclear strategy to Irans non- nuclear threats 6
- Iranian threats of biological warfare biological terrorism electromagnetic weapons EMP or massive conventional attack 7
- These doctrinal shifts should be declared immediately. 8
- Escalation dominance and inadvertent nuclear war 8
- Palestine preemption and nuclear threats to Israel 10
- The Decline of the West 11
- Imminence of war and Iranian vulnerabilities 11
- Inter alia 11
- Israels national will 13
- Israel could be acting rationally by responding to Iranian non-nuclear reprisals to Israeli attacks with a nuclear counter-retaliation 13
- The primacy of power over death 14
- . power over death. 14
- Ipso facto 15
- Security or Armageddon Israels Nuclear Strategy Surviving Amid Chaos Israels Nuclear Strategy 16
- Principles of War The Art of War Harvard National Security Journal 16
- Strategy and Conscience 17
- Jurist Case Western Reserve Journal of International Law 17
- Inter alia 18
- Treaty of Peace of Munster Treaty of Peace of Osnabruck bellum omnium contra omnes 19
- Israel-Sudan Normalization Agreement Israel-Morocco Normalization Agreement 19
- The Logic of Leviathan The Moral and Political Theory of Thomas Hobbes The Political Works Tractatus Politicus 20
- Convention on the Rights and Duties of States 21
- Israel Defense Temple International and Comparative Law Journal Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law 21
- The World as Will and Idea 21
- The Revolt of the Masses Le Rebelion de las Masas Die Neue Rundschau The Dehumanization of Art 22
- The Decline of the West 22
- Religion in the Making 22
- Philosophy of Right Realpolitik De Republica 22
- Urfaust Faust Grau theurer Freund ist alle Theorie Und grun des Lebens goldner Baum. 23
- Man and Crisis 23
