16 The content and views expressed in this special report are those of the authors and should not be taken to reflect an ofÏcial policy or position of the New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy. [...] (Nathan Howard / Getty Images) The New Lines Institute for Strategy and Policy Our mission is to provoke principled and transformative leadership based on peace and security, global communities, character, stewardship, and development. [...] In particular are those who central conclusion, summarize the analysis and believe the false idea that Donald Trump findings of this futures assessment: is the real winner of the 2020 elections, not Joseph Biden. [...] ■ Of the two political milieus, this analysis ■ Lawmakers and legislative bodies across assesses the biggest threat to democratic the country face substantial harassment governance comes from the far right. [...] The risk of harassment, threats, This is due to the steady infiltration of far- and violence is especially elevated at local right beliefs – including explicit and coded and state levels, due to lower levels of antisemitism, racism, religious nationalism, physical security, greater accessibility, and and xenophobia/nativism – and actors into their attractiveness as politically symbolic mainstream.
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Table of Contents
- Executive Summary 3
- Key Judgements 4
- Introduction and Overview 8
- Current Environmental Dynamics, Actors, and External Shocks 9
- Theme 1: Challenges to Democratic Governance 10
- Theme 2: Sociopolitical Trends and Events 10
- Theme 3: Sociopolitical Movements and Ideologies 10
- Theme 4: External Shocks 11
- Theme 1 – Threats to Democratic Governance 11
- Creeping Illiberalism and Authoritarianism 11
- Electoral Interference 12
- Rising Threats Toward Lawmakers and Legislative Facilities 14
- Extremist Insider Threat 16
- Theme 2: Sociopolitical Trends and Events 19
- Political Polarization 19
- Divergent Responses to Social Wedge Issues 20
- Discontent Over Law Enforcement Practices and Powers 23
- Conspiracy Theories and Disinformation 26
- 2024 Presidential Election 31
- Endnotes 32
- Conclusion 32
