The article examines the significant geopolitical ramifications of the upcoming 2024 elections in the Republic of Georgia and the United States, in relation to the South Caucasus. The authors emphasize the region’s importance as a strategic crossroad between Asia and Europe (the New Silk Road), with key energy and trade routes passing through Georgia. The article outlines the uncertain outcome of Georgia’s parliamentary elections (taking place on October 26), detailing three potential scenarios. Each scenario poses different consequences for Georgia’s relations with the West, Russia, and China, particularly in terms of the country’s Euro–Atlantic aspirations. Similarly, the US election will influence the region’s future by influencing the behavior of South Caucasus states and neighboring powers.
Authors
- Pages
- 7
- Published in
- United States of America
Table of Contents
- Executive Summary 1
- Introduction 2
- The Importance of the South Caucasus 2
- The results of 2
- Georgias foreign 2
- Georgian Elections 3
- Scenario 1 Victory of Georgian Dream 3
- This scenario will 3
- Azerbaijan which 3
- Scenario 2 Power-sharing with neither GD nor the opposition able to gain a majority in the parliament 4
- This scenario would 4
- Scenario 3 Victory of the opposition and defeat of the Georgian Dream 5
- US elections 5
- Even under a stable opposition government in Tbilisi and a Harris administration in Washington US support for the region would remain modest 6
- About the Authors 7
