Laurus Trust - Student outcomes and Progression Niccolò Babbini & Sam Tuckett

Table of Contents

• About the Education Policy Institute 2
• Acknowledgements 3
• Contents 4
• Executive summary 5
• Ofsted 2023 Inspection of Laurus Ryecroft 5
• Introduction 8
• Methodology 10
• Data 10
• Outcome measures 11
• Descriptive statistics 11
• Modelled analysis 12
• Results 15
• Secondary School Outcomes 15
• Figure 1 Average Attainment 8 scores Laurus Trust students compared to all other students in England and Greater Manchester 16
• Figure 2 Attainment 8 scores changes since the rollout of the EC programme compared to similar students within the Laurus Trust pre-EC programme 17
• Figure 3 Attainment 8 scores Laurus Trust students compared with similar students in other schools 18
• Figure 4 Percentage of students who were persistently absent Laurus Trust students compared to all other students in England and Greater Manchester 19
• Department for Education 2023 Pupil absence in schools in England 19
• Figure 5 Rate of persistent absence changes since the rollout of the EC programme compared to similar students within the Laurus Trust pre-EC programme 20
• Figure 6 Rate of persistent absence Laurus Trust students compared with similar students in other schools 21
• 16-19 outcomes 22
• Figure 7 Proportion of Cheadle Hulme students who continued study in the Cheadle Hulme sixth form compared to other study destinations 201617-201718 22
• Figure 8 Post-16 student destinations by type and level of qualification 201617-201819 23
• Figure 9 Change in likelihood of entering A levels among Laurus Trust students post-EC programme compared to similar students in the Trust pre-EC programme 24
• Figure 10 Post-16 destinations of Laurus Trust students compared with similar students in other schools 25
• Post-18 outcomes 26
• Figure 11 Proportion of Cheadle Hulme students finishing key stage 4 in 201617 201819 that continued in further education in the academic year they turned 19 26
• We have not produced a pre- or post-EC split for this breakdown due to small sample sizes. 26
• Figure 12 Proportion of students that entered higher education within two years of finishing key stage 4 of which Russell Group universities 27
• Figure 13 Entry into Russell Group universities change since the rollout of the EC programme compared to similar students in the Laurus Trust pre-EC programme 28
• Figure 16 Higher education completion among Laurus Trust students who finished key stage 4 pre-EC programme 201516 or 201617 and started an undergraduate degree 29
• Figure 17 First-class degrees awarded Laurus Trust students that finished key stage 4 in 201516 or 201617 pre-EC programme and completed a degree 30
• Figure 18 Higher education completion of which first-class degrees Laurus Trust students pre-EC programme finished key stage 4 in 201516 or 201617 compared to similar students elsewhere 31
• Conclusion 32
• References 33
• Annex A Underlying student counts 34
• Table 1 Underlying student counts for Attainment 8 and absence statistics Figures 1 and 4 34
• Table 2 Model statistics Attainment 8 outcomes change within the Trust post-EC 201617-201819 and 202122 Figure 2 34
• Table 3 Model statistics Attainment 8 outcomes Laurus Trust students compared to similar students in other schools 201617-201819 and 202122 Figure 3 34
• Table 4 Model statistics Persistent absence outcomes change within the Trust post-EC 201617- 201819 and 202122 Figure 5 35
• Table 5 Model statistics Persistent absence outcomes Laurus Trust students compared to similar students in other schools 201617-201819 and 202122 Figure 6 35
• Table 6 Underlying student counts for post-16 destinations by institution type 201617-201819 Figure 7 35
• The year groups of Cheadle Hulme High School students in Table 3 do not correspond to those in Table 2 and Table 4 therefore the totals are different 35
• Table 7 Underlying student counts for post-16 destinations by level of qualification 201617-201819 Figure 8 36
• Table 8 Model statistics Entry to A Level change within the Trust post-EC 201617-201819 Figure 9 36
• Table 9 Model statistics Entry to A Level Laurus Trust students compared to similar students in other schools 201617-201819 Figure 10 left-hand side 36
• Table 10 Model statistics Entry to apprenticeships Laurus Trust students compared to similar students in other schools 201617-201819 Figure 10 right-hand side 36
• Table 11 Underlying student counts for post-18 destinations by level of qualification 201617- 201819 Figure 11 37
• Table 12 Underlying student counts for entry into higher education within two years of which Russell Group university 201617-201819 Figure 12 38
• Table 13 Model statistics Entry to Russell Group university change within the Trust post-EC 201617- 201819 Figure 13 38
• Table 14 Model statistics Entry to higher education Laurus Trust students pre-EC programme finished key stage 4 in 201617 compared to similar students in other schools Figure 14 left-hand side 38
• Table 18 Underlying student counts for university completion 201516-201617 Figure 16 40
• Table 19 Underlying student counts for degree classification 201516-201617 Figure 17 40
• Table 21 Model statistics degree classification Laurus Trust students pre-EC programme finished key stage 4 in 201516 or 201617 compared to similar students in other schools Figure 18 right- hand side 40
• Annex B Balance of matched data sets 41
• Table 22 Balance diagnostics of models comparing similar students within the Laurus Trust 41
• Table 23 Balance diagnostics of models comparing Laurus Trust students post-EC programme finished key stage 4 in 201718 or 201819 to similar students in other schools 42
• Table 24 Balance diagnostics of models comparing Laurus Trust students pre-EC programme finished key stage 4 in 201617 to similar students in other schools 43