integration, it remains unclear whether the EU has the Therefore, the weakening of the pro-EU forces in Paris right tools to help the Balkans make progress on all those and Berlin likely means that the integration engine will fronts, and whether the region still has the political will lose steam in the foreseeable future.22 and stamina to reform in line with the conditions set. [...] From this perspective, the ability of the three new Eastern candidates to advance within two years to the point of opening accession talks with the EU – when it In the June EP vote, the far-right took more than a decade for some of the Balkan aspirants to achieve the same feat – was met with perplexity in the performed especially well in France region. [...] The Union’s strong and prompt endorsement of and Germany, the two countries that the trio’s membership bid fostered the impression in the have long driven forward the debate Balkans that the EU favoured the Eastern candidates.17 about the future of the Union. [...] Hence, The rise of illiberal forces in the EU is likely to undermine the position cannot be filled by the national of a country the EU’s authority to push for higher democratic that is considered an electoral autocracy30 and is under EU standards in candidate countries and disincentivise scrutiny for the erosion of the rule of law domestically, as the implementation of rule of law reforms in the w. [...] The choice of the next good grasp of the technical and political aspects of the Commissioner for Enlargement matters in this regard enlargement process and be familiar with the interests, because it could help to tilt the balance in the direction positions, and concerns of different EU stakeholders – of success or failure.
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Table of Contents
- Next Commissioner for Enlargement Which criteria should inform the selection 1
- INTRODUCTION 1
- POLICY BRIEF 1
- EUROPEAN POLITICS AND INSTITUTIONS PROGRAMME 1
- BACKGROUND 1
- Orbáns unwillingness to cooperate at the European level with regards to Ukraine could be linked to his special relationship with Putin. 2
- The war in Ukraine reshuffled the EUs list of priorities and enlargement climbed quickly to the top of the EUs agenda as a geopolitical tool to strengthen the continents security architecture. 2
- STATE OF PLAY 3
- In the June EP vote the far-right performed especially well in France and Germany the two countries that have long driven forward the debate about the future of the Union. 3
- PROSPECTS 4
- The potential realignment in terms of coalitions poses a serious challenge to European democracy and could have implications for the overall direction of certain dossiers including enlargement. 4
- Enlarging the EU is as much a response to the current geopolitical dilemmas as it is a test for the Union and its member states. 5