This feasibility study investigates the utilization of the Integration of EDGAR and POLES (EDGAR-POLES) model to assess future greenhouse gas (GHG) emission scenarios within energy-related sectors, focusing on the impact of alternative energy scenarios options from the POLES model. With the aim of supporting the objectives of the EU 2050 long-term strategy, the study evaluates the technical feasibility of employing the EDGAR-POLES framework to analyse changes in energy supply, fuel shift dynamics, and the penetration of new technologies. By narrowing its focus to energy-related sectors, the study aims to provide granular insights into the future trajectories of GHG emissions, facilitating evidence-based decision-making and targeted interventions to mitigate climate change effectively. Through collaboration with stakeholders, the study seeks to contribute to the realization of a sustainable, low-carbon future in line with EU objectives.
Authors
Joint Research Centre, European Commission, Banja, Manjola, Pagani, Federico, Crippa, Monica, Guizzardi, Diego, Pisoni, Enrico
- Catalogue number
- KJ-01-24-045-EN-N
- Citation
- European Commission: Joint Research Centre, Banja, M., Pagani, F., Crippa, M., Guizzardi, D. et al., Assessing future energy GHG emission scenarios at regional scale , Publications Office of the European Union, 2024, https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2760/9440049
- DOI
- https://data.europa.eu/doi/10.2760/9440049
- ISBN
- 978-92-68-20764-2
- ISSN
- 1831-9424
- Pages
- 37
- Published in
- Belgium
- Themes
- Energy
Table of Contents
- Contents 3
- Abstract 4
- Acknowledgements 5
- 1 Introduction 6
- 2 EDGAR database 7
- 3 POLES JRC model 9
- 4 EDGAR-POLES methodology for the energy sector 11
- 5 Scenarios exploration and harmonisation methodology 17
- 6 Spatial distribution of projected CO emissions examples 21
- 7 Discussions on the potentialities and limitations of the EDGAR-POLES 23
- 8 Ideas for future developments of EDGAR projections 25
- 9 Conclusions 27
- References 28
- List of abbreviations and definitions 30
- List of figures 31
- List of tables 32
- Annexes 33
- Annex 1. EDGAR sectors and subsectors codes 33
- Annex 2. EDGAR fuel codes 35
- Getting in touch with the EU 36
- Finding information about the EU 36
- The Joint Research Centre JRC provides independent evidence-based knowledge and science supporting EU policies to positively impact society 37
