US elections and European cohesion – Scenario implications for Ukraine and transatlantic security

Table of Contents

• Introduction 3
• 1. US support for Ukraine 5
• 1.1. Harris: strong support with limitations 5
• 1.2. Trump 2.0: Ukraine and Europe on their own 9
• 2. Push for negotiations 13
• 2.1. Harris: a coordinated path toward a ceasefire 13
• 2.2. Trump 2.0: peace between Trump and Putin 15
• 3. NATO 20
• 3.1. President Harris: committed to NATO and better burden sharing 20
• 3.2. President Trump 2.0: toward a ‹dormant› NATO 23
• 4. Conclusion 27
• Imprint 28