Progress in reducing emissions: 2024 Report to Parliament 15 Progress in reducing emissions: 2024 Report to Parliament 15 Chapter 1: Progress in reducing UK emissions In this chapter, we review the UK’s progress in reducing emissions and discuss the increase in pace of emissions reduction that will be needed to meet the UK’s climate targets. [...] (2) The orange bars show the annual pace of emissions reductions that will be required starting from the published provisional 2023 emissions data to reduce emissions to the level assumed in the Government’s Carbon Budget Delivery Plan (CBDP) in 2030 in each sector. [...] The magnitude of this revision reflects the large uncertainty in the estimated emissions from imports and emphasises the importance of improving the quality (and timeliness) of consumption emissions statistics. [...] – UK GDP was lower in 2022 than what was expected in 2008 because of the combined effects of the global financial crisis, the UK’s exit from the EU and the COVID-19 pandemic.6,7 – A 2019 analysis on the achievement of the First and Second Carbon Budgets found that a 1% change in GDP would change emissions by approximately 0.3%. [...] However, since so much of the emissions reductions to date has been concentrated in the electricity supply sector, the increasing decoupling of emissions and GDP is unlikely to negate the impact for the Third Carbon Budget.
Authors
Related Organizations
- Pages
- 102
- Published in
- United Kingdom
Table of Contents
- The Committee 5
- Acknowledgements 6
- Executive summary 8
- Urgent action is needed to get on track for the UK’s 2030 target 8
- Priority actions 8
- Emissions and the Third Carbon Budget 10
- Delivery indicators 11
- Policy assessment 12
- Next steps 14
- Chapter 1: Progress in reducing UK emissions 17
- 1.1 UK total territorial emissions 18
- 1.1.1 Overall UK emissions 18
- (i) Emissions in 2022 18
- (ii) Emissions in 2023 19
- 1.1.2 Longer-term trends in sectoral emissions 22
- 1.2 Required pace of future emissions reduction 24
- 1.2.1 Overall UK emissions 24
- 1.2.2 Acceleration required by sector 26
- 1.3 Emissions in Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland 28
- 1.4 UK consumption emissions 29
- Endnotes 31
- Chapter 2: Lookback over the UK’s first three carbon budgets 33
- 2.1 The net carbon account for the Third Carbon Budget 34
- 2.1.1 Assessment of the Third Carbon Budget 34
- 2.2 Lookback over the first three carbon budgets 35
- 2.2.1 Emissions reductions since 2008 35
- 2.2.2 Factors that have influenced emissions reductions since 2008 40
- (i) Costs of key technologies 42
- (ii) Fuel prices 44
- 2.3 Emissions reductions required for future carbon budgets 45
- 2.3.1 Performance required against future carbon budget periods 45
- 2.3.2 Sectoral contributions to future carbon budgets 46
- Endnotes 48
- Chapter 3: Indicators of current delivery progress 50
- 3.1 The CCC monitoring framework 51
- 3.2 Assessment of progress on key indicators 51
- 3.2.1 Demand for high-carbon activities 52
- 3.2.2 Roll-out of low-carbon technologies and nature-based solutions 54
- 3.2.3 Enablers of the transition 62
- Endnotes 64
- Chapter 4: Assessment of policy progress 66
- 4.1 Progress against priority recommendations 67
- 4.1.1 Progress against priority recommendations to the UK Government 67
- 4.1.2 Progress against priority recommendations for Scotland, Wales and Northern Ireland 68
- 4.2 Assessment of policies and plans 70
- 4.2.1 Cross-economy assessment 70
- (i) The Fourth Carbon Budget (2023–2027) 70
- (ii) The 2030 NDC and Sixth Carbon Budget (2033–2037) 70
- 4.3 Key policy developments 72
- 4.3.1 Sectoral changes in our 2030 policy assessment 72
- (i) Surface transport 75
- (ii) Buildings 76
- (iii) Industry 77
- (iv) Electricity supply 78
- (v) Agriculture and land use 79
- (vi) Aviation 80
- (vii) Fuel supply 80
- (viii) Waste 80
- (ix) Shipping 81
- (x) Engineered removals 81
- 4.3.2 Key developments on enablers of effective delivery 81
- (i) Business and finance 81
- (ii) Governance 81
- (iii) Public engagement, green choices and affordability 82
- (iv) Trade policy 82
- (v) Transparency, monitoring and evaluation 82
- 4.4 Priority recommendations 83
- 4.4.1 Priority actions for the UK Government 83
- 4.4.2 Priority actions for the devolved administrations 87
- Endnotes 90
- Annex 1: Priority recommendations 92
- Annex 2: Policy assessment criteria 101
